Bakis Foresight
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Bakis Foresight · est. London

Understand the world
as it relates to you.

A forecasting service for organisations that cannot afford to be surprised. We build a continuously-updated probability map of the questions that matter to you — and tell you the moment one of them moves.

Live coverage · 14 sectors1,142 daily briefs publishedP75 calibration · 71.4%
This morning · 03:21 GMT
Live forecasts, your watch
Live
Macro · ECB
Rate cut by September
72.4%
+4.1
Shipping · Suez
Disruption persists into Q3
41.6%
+11.0
Energy · Brent
Spot >$90 within 90d
54.7%
+1.2
FX · EUR/USD
Breaks 1.05 by end Q2
23.8%
−0.6
Updated 2 min ago · ContinuouslyOpen workspace →
Quietly trusted by strategy & risk teams at
MaerskAllianzBlackRockReutersSaudi PIFKPMG
The Method

Not predictions. A position, continuously revised.

01
You declare what you care about.

We sit with your team to define the 20–40 questions whose answers would change your plans this year.

02
We build a probability map.

Each question is decomposed into base rates, scenarios and live indicators — modelled, then forecasted.

03
It updates, continuously.

When a leading indicator moves, the forecast moves. When the forecast crosses your threshold, you hear from us.

04
You read the morning brief.

A 6-minute editorial pulled from your live map. No alarm; no noise. Only what changed and why.

From the Brief · No. 1,142

“The Asia–Europe lane has, all year, been a story told in containers. This week, it became a story told in insurance premiums.”

Bakis Foresight · The Morning Brief13 May 2026 · 6 min read

Some surprises are worth not having.

Request access for your strategy or risk team. We onboard fewer than four organisations a quarter.

or, book a 30-min introduction